Do SBA 7(a) Loans Default? 36 Years of Credit Performance
"What's the default rate on SBA loans?" is the question every lender, investor, and borrower asks, and the honest answer is it depends entirely on when the loan was made. Below is the realized credit performance of every 7(a) loan approved from FY1991 through Mar 31, 2026 by vintage.
Loans Approved (FY1991+)
Disbursed Volume
Charged Off
Charge-Off Rate (% of approved $, disbursed loans)
The Vintage Effect: Why Timing Is Everything
Charge-off rate by approval fiscal year, as a share of the dollars actually disbursed (you can't charge off money that never funded). The pattern is unmistakable: loans approved into the 2005-2008 run-up lost a staggering share: the FY2007 cohort charged off nearly 25% of disbursed dollars, with 2006 and 2008 close behind, while post-crisis underwriting (FY2010+) performs far better. The recent collapse toward zero is not a credit miracle; those loans are simply too young to have defaulted yet.
By Vintage Era
Where Loans Stand Today (FY2020+)
The current status of every loan approved since FY2020. Most are still current; charge-offs will rise as these vintages season.
The Full Credit Ladder (FY2020+)
Every disbursed loan placed on the standard credit ladder, each rate on its proper basis. Snapshot rates (delinquent / past due, in liquidation, deferred) are measured against loans still outstanding; cumulative outcomes (SBA-purchased, charged off, paid in full) against all disbursed loans. The two summary rates below are what a lender or secondary-market reader looks for first.
Guaranty Purchase Rate (cumulative)
Charge-Off Rate (cumulative)
Which Industries Carry the Most Risk? (FY2020+)
Relative charge-off rates across the highest-volume industries. Absolute levels are low because these loans are young, but the ranking is informative: which sectors are already showing stress.